IMÓVEIS DE LUXO NA FLÓRIDA – MERCADO EM ALTA

Imóveis de luxo

RECUPERAÇÃO EM VISTA

O ano de 2017 foi excelente para o mercado de imóveis de luxo na Flórida, em específico o de Single Family Homes de alto padrão para o condado de Broward. De acordo com o relatório da Miami Association of Realtors, as casas acima de $1,000,000.00 foram aquelas que apresentaram maior crescimento de vendas em relação à 2016.

Foram vendidas 639 casas ao longo do ano, representando alta de 14.9% quando comparado aos números do ano anterior. Enquanto isso, casas com valores abaixo de um milhão, apesar de terem maior número de vendas, apresentaram decréscimo.

Nossa leitura em relação a estes dados é a de que participar do mercado de propriedades com menor valor não é a melhor estratégia neste momento. Além de apresentar extrema concorrência, é, notadamente, um segmento em queda.

Em dezembro de 2017, existiam 928 propriedades acima de $1 milhão de dólares disponível para venda, quantidade 2.5% menor do que no final de 2016. Isso mostra que a demanda por propriedades deste padrão é maior do que a oferta, pressionando os preços para cima, o que é excelente para nós.

Ao mesmo tempo, ao dedicarmo-nos a imóveis de alto padrão, participamos de um mercado que cresce e tem poucos concorrentes. Tanto acreditamos nesta estratégia que montamos um novo projeto em Lighthouse Point, cerca de 45 minutos ao norte de Hollywood.


PARA SABER MAIS COMO INVESTIR NO MERCADO IMOBILIÁRIO DOS ESTADOS UNIDOS

CLIQUE AQUI


2018 AQUECIDO

Os dados que vêm do mercado para 2018 são positivos para imóveis de luxo na Flórida. Somente nos dois primeiros meses deste ano houve 3.6% de crescimento nas vendas de Single Family Homes no condado de Broward, e janeiro e fevereiro são os piores meses do ano para o setor, historicamente.

Vendas Mensais Realizadas – 12 Meses

Fonte: Miami Association of Realtors

Em termos de volume financeiro, o crescimento foi ainda maior. Em janeiro e fevereiro foram fechados $891 milhões em negócios no condado de Broward, um crescimento de 16.3% em relação ao mesmo período do ano anterior.

Volume financeiro de vendas

Fonte: Miami Association of Realtors

Não obstante a isso, o tempo de venda também tem diminuído. O prazo médio entre a data que a propriedade é colocada a venda e o dia do closing (fechamento do negócio), com efetiva transação registrada, foi de de 89 dias em Fevereiro, 5 dias a menos do que em 2016.

Isso ajuda a mostrar o vigor do mercado: maior volume de vendas, maior volume financeiro e transações mais rápidas.

Tempo médio até a venda

Fonte: Miami Association of Realtors

E o último dado que sela nossa perspectiva é a queda no inventário. Todos sabemos que a construção civil é um setor de ciclos longos. Cada projeto leva mais do que 12 meses para ser concluído. Isso significa que a demanda por produtos se move mais rapidamente que a oferta, o que ajuda a pressionar os preços para cima.

Estamos no lugar certo no momento certo.

O estoque de produtos disponível no condado de Broward é de 5.181 unidades, em final de Fevereiro. Isso representa 4 meses de inventário necessário para atender a demanda. Ou seja, se ninguém construir mais nada, em 4 meses o estoque acaba.

A referência para um mercado balanceado é de 5.5 meses: números abaixo disso representam uma vantagem para o vendedor, que se aproveita do baixo estoque para elevar os preços; valores acima de 5.5 meses tornam o mercado bom para os compradores, que tomam vantagem do excesso de produtos no mercado para pedir descontos.

Inventário disponível

Fonte: Miami Association of Realtors

IMÓVEIS DE LUXO NA FLÓRIDA

O cenário macro está traçado. E ao olharmos o cenário micro, ele também é motivador parai móveis de luxo na Flórida.

Em uma divisão de vendas de acordo com o preço do imóvel, aqueles cujo valor é de $1,000,000.00 ou mais são os que mais apresentam crescimento.

Em janeiro, foram 51 vendas, número 54.5% superior ao mesmo período de 2017. Em fevereiro, outras 51 propriedades foram vendidas, representando crescimento de 27.5% em relação ao mesmo mês do ano passado.

Novamente, o comportamento no primeiro bimestre mostra que as propriedades com maior valor são as que mais registram crescimento nas vendas.

Vendas por faixa de preço – Jan/2018       Vendas por faixa de preço – Fev/2018

Fonte: Miami Association of Realtors

Como explicado anteriormente, a construção é um mercado de ciclo longo. O oferta e a demanda por imóveis de luxo na Flórida estão descasadas. Em janeiro, apesar das 145 novas ofertas que entraram no mercado,  o estoque final foi de 993 unidades, valor 3.3% inferior à janeiro de 2017.

Em fevereiro, 141 novas propriedades foram anunciadas, e o estoque ficou em 1.038 casas, valor levemente superior ao mesmo período de 2017, com elevação de 1.8%.

Inventário Disponível

Fonte: Miami Association of Realtors

O último dado que ajuda a corroborar a pujança do mercado de imóveis de luxo na Flórida, especificamente em Broward, é a queda do prazo médio de vendas. Do dia em que a propriedade é listada até o dia em que ela entra em contrato para ser fechada, decorre-se, em média, 102 dias.

Definitivamente, os ricos descobriram Broward County.

Tempo médio de venda – Fev/2018

Fonte: Miami Association of Realtors

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